WELCOME TO RUFFER

All-weather investing

Seeking consistent positive returns.

Come rain or shine.

Ruffer provides investment management services for institutions, pension funds, charities, financial planners and individual investors.
Location
Select your Location
Visitor Type
Select investor type
Select investor type
London
Ruffer LLP
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Paris
Ruffer S.A.
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
New York
Ruffer LLC
300 Park Avenue
New York NY 10022
Edinburgh
Ruffer LLP
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET

The Ruffer Review

Our annual publication, sharing some investment thinking
Always a puzzle never a game
Tony Dye was CIO of one of the UK’s largest pension fund managers in the 1990s. Most people knew him for his value-driven investment approach and his warnings on the dot.com bubble. But I knew him as Dad. His experience taught me some key lessons which are every bit as valuable today – arguably more so.
The great wealth illusion
Harry Houdini was a master of deception who traded on the illusion of immortality – until his death in 1926. Today, financial markets are just as beguiled by the power of illusions. And there is one investors should pay particular attention to – the bezzle.
Whatever it breaks
Central bankers once again face their old foe – inflation. Investors expect inflation to drop sharply in 2023 and the monetary cavalry to arrive by the second half of the year. But might those hopes be misguided?
The sequence counts
Underestimate sequencing risk at your peril. For portfolios with similar annualised returns but with cash flows in or out, the sequence of returns – when the gains and losses occur – can make a massive difference to final portfolio values.
Hemispheres of Influence
An epic bull market in magical thinking has dominated the world in recent years. Now, real world tectonic shifts are driving us into a more inflation-prone and volatile regime. But it’s our divided brains and their relationship with technology which may hold the key to navigating the risks and opportunities of this new era.
Fifty shades of beige
How can we translate the unstructured data of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book economic updates into a tool with predictive power? Use an eighteenth century statistical theorem, of course – a theorem which also prevented the early internet being buried under a mountain of spam.
Gone with the win-win?
A massive change in perceptions is needed to take into account the true environmental and social costs of businesses' operations. Guest contributor Duncan Austin suggests that perhaps sustainability is less a market opportunity and much more a moral challenge.
American Pie
The ancien régime of low inflation and free money is over. The painful adjustment process has further to run, with scope for mishaps as liquidity drains from the system. The market dreams of a Goldilocks scenario, just right for risky assets. But will the bears be kept at bay?
Ruffer Review 2023
The 2023 Ruffer Review explores why liquidity concerns may spoil the market’s hopes for a Goldilocks scenario, why the monetary cavalry may arrive too late to save Wall Street and why understanding our divided brains may be the key to navigating this new regime of inflation volatility and geopolitical conflict. And much, much more.
Deserting discs
“I don’t even know why I would want to be on a label in a few years, because I don’t think it’s going to work by labels and by the distribution systems in the same way... music itself is going to become like running water or electricity” David Bowie, 2002
Read
London
Ruffer LLP
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Paris
Ruffer S.A.
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
New York
Ruffer LLC
300 Park Avenue
New York NY 10022
Edinburgh
Ruffer LLP
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET