All-weather investing

Seeking consistent positive returns.

Come rain or shine.

Ruffer provides investment management services for institutions, pension funds, charities, financial planners and individual investors.
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©2023 Ruffer LLP, Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

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ruffer@ruffer.co.uk

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London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Directions | Map +44 (0)20 7963 8100
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Directions | Map +44 (0)131 202 1602
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
Directions | Map +33 (0)1 88 45 02 54

Just bluster?

Ideas, thoughts and comments
Ruffer
Our thinking
16 November 2023
So you want stock TIPS?
November 2023: After a bond market rout commensurate with the steepest and fastest rate hiking cycle in a generation, is there now a case for adding fixed income into portfolios? Perhaps - there might even be two. In this month’s green line, Fund Manager Duncan MacInnes looks at the cyclical and structural cases for inflation-linked bonds.
Duncan MacInnes
3 mins | Green Line
18 October 2023
It's a very, very mad world
October 2023: Some extraordinary dynamics have emerged in markets in 2023. None more startling than the breakdown of the typical relationship between bond yields and equity valuations – especially mega-cap tech stocks. So far, it’s been bond investors who have endured the pain of rising real yields. But is an equity market repricing – reflective of stickier inflation and ‘higher for longer’ rates – the shoe that’s yet to drop?
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
11 October 2023
Responsible Investment Report
We outline some of the difficulties of engaging when it comes to commodity investments and explain our efforts to find ways around them. This quarter's engagements in focus are with BAT, ArcelorMittal and Perseus Mining.
28 mins | Responsible investment
9 October 2023
Ruffer Radio: From the Chairman
July 2023: In this quarter’s episode of Ruffer Radio, Chairman Jonathan Ruffer shares his perspectives on the evolution of Ruffer’s all-weather investment approach since founding the firm in 1994. Jonathan reflects on the genesis of the firm, making mistakes, the character traits that shape his investment style, and the challenges and opportunities facing investors today. And crucially, how these are reflected in the Ruffer portfolio.
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Jonathan Ruffer, Rory McIvor
30mins | Ruffer Radio
ALL ARTICLES
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Ruffer Review
A collection of articles and thoughts from people across the firm. Published annually.
Investment Review
A newsletter written by our founder Jonathan Ruffer. Published quarterly.
Ruffer Radio
A series of podcasts exploring the investment universe and sharing our interpretation of what’s going on.
The Green Line
An interesting chart, plus a short commentary. Published monthly.
Book corner
31 July 2023
Book review – The outsiders
Most CEOs focus on managing operations and neglect capital allocation. This is a mistake, argues Will Thorndike, in a book featuring eight outsider CEOs whose unorthodox pursuit of quality capital allocation has driven strong long-term returns for shareholders.
Edward Roe
6 mins | Book Corner
8 September 2022
Book review – Masons, tricksters and cartographers
Masons, Tricksters and Cartographers is about the sociology of science and the ‘unplanned and messy’ nature of knowledge and knowledge systems. Turnbull explores, in rather turgid prose, differing ways of producing knowledge across cultures. From a diversity of disparate systems, he finds figures that crop up time and again.
George Hallas
3 mins | Book Corner
25 July 2022
Book review – Trillion Dollar Coach
The future of information technology is beyond the comprehension of most. And competition between the companies who want to shape it is fiercer than ever.
Jenny Renton
2 mins | Book Corner
10 July 2022
Book review – The Shock of the Old
At the heart of historical enquiry are two simple questions: ‘What has changed?’ and ‘What has stayed the same?’ For investors, concerned with the future value of assets, these questions can be reframed: ‘What will change?’ and ‘What will stay the same?’
Toby Barklem
4 mins | Book Corner
All articles
EDITOR'S CHOICE
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It's a very, very mad world
October 2023: Some extraordinary dynamics have emerged in markets in 2023. None more startling than the breakdown of the typical relationship between bond yields and equity valuations – especially mega-cap tech stocks. So far, it’s been bond investors who have endured the pain of rising real yields. But is an equity market repricing – reflective of stickier inflation and ‘higher for longer’ rates – the shoe that’s yet to drop?
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
Responsible Investment Report
We outline some of the difficulties of engaging when it comes to commodity investments and explain our efforts to find ways around them. This quarter's engagements in focus are with BAT, ArcelorMittal and Perseus Mining.
28 mins | Responsible investment
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Ruffer Radio: From the Chairman
July 2023: In this quarter’s episode of Ruffer Radio, Chairman Jonathan Ruffer shares his perspectives on the evolution of Ruffer’s all-weather investment approach since founding the firm in 1994. Jonathan reflects on the genesis of the firm, making mistakes, the character traits that shape his investment style, and the challenges and opportunities facing investors today. And crucially, how these are reflected in the Ruffer portfolio.
Jonathan Ruffer, Rory McIvor
30mins | Ruffer Radio
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Investment Review
October 2023: With our cautious positioning proving costly so far this year, Jonathan Ruffer considers why some offsetting assets have not performed as expected. He also explains why we remain confident that our portfolio is well positioned for the current tricky market environment.
Jonathan Ruffer
15 mins | Investment review
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A starter for yen
September 2023: The Bank of Japan has been marching to a different beat to other central banks. While the Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of England hurried to ramp up rates in a battle against inflation, a deflationary mist lingered over Japan. Until now…
Jasmine Yeo
3 mins | Green Line
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Ruffer Radio: Early and ready
July 2023: Investment Director Steve Russell reviews the downtrend in performance this year in the context of a global equity market rally. Steve explains why we retain high conviction in a strongly defensive position in portfolios despite investor sentiment having turned more positive. He also discusses the assets we expect to generate returns in worsening financial conditions.
Steve Russell, Rory McIvor
15 mins | Ruffer Radio
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Reality cheques
We explore the intersection of natural risk with geopolitics and financial markets. Natural risk comes in many guises, from pandemic at the acute end of the spectrum to long-term challenges from a changing climate at the other. All matter for investors.
Alexander Chartres, Hannah Nairn
25 mins | Webinars
Whatever it breaks
Central bankers once again face their old foe – inflation. Investors expect inflation to drop sharply in 2023 and the monetary cavalry to arrive by the second half of the year. But might those hopes be misguided?
Jamie Dannhauser
18 mins | Ruffer Review
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Blood on the tracks
April 2023: Today's policymakers face an impossible but unavoidable choice – they must send the train down one track or the other. Either they let inflation gather steam or they pull the proverbial lever and risk a financial system calamity. There is no third way.
Duncan MacInnes
3 mins | Green Line
Fifty shades of beige
How can we translate the unstructured data of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book economic updates into a tool with predictive power? Use an eighteenth century statistical theorem, of course – a theorem which also prevented the early internet being buried under a mountain of spam.
Henry Jolliffe
17 mins | Ruffer Review
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contact

ruffer@ruffer.co.uk

Ruffer LinkedIn
London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Directions | Map +44 (0)20 7963 8100
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Directions | Map +44 (0)131 202 1602
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
Directions | Map +33 (0)1 88 45 02 54