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Ruffer provides investment management services for institutions, pension funds, charities, financial planners and individual investors.
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London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Directions | Map +44 (0)20 7963 8100
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Directions | Map +44 (0)131 202 1602
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
Directions | Map +33 (0)1 88 45 02 54

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Steve Russell
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It's a very, very mad world
October 2023: Some extraordinary dynamics have emerged in markets in 2023. None more startling than the breakdown of the typical relationship between bond yields and equity valuations – especially mega-cap tech stocks. So far, it’s been bond investors who have endured the pain of rising real yields. But is an equity market repricing – reflective of stickier inflation and ‘higher for longer’ rates – the shoe that’s yet to drop?
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
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Is discretion the better part of valour?
June 2023: Whilst it’s been a tough start to the year for cautious investors, equity valuations – particularly in the US – suggest the rally could run out of steam, and cash now offers a tempting alternative. Moreover, with inflation stubbornly high, central bankers will be reluctant to intervene if markets encounter turbulence. Against this backdrop, we think caution is still justified.
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
Having your cake and eating it?
February 2023: Markets have rallied in expectation of a soft landing for the US economy and interest rate cuts from the Fed. As Steve Russell explains, markets can have one or the other, but both seems implausible. And any disappointment could leave investors feeling distinctly nauseous.  
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
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Reasons to Be Fearful, Part 3*
October 2022: So far this year, we’ve seen a painful but orderly repricing of risky assets. Now, we fear something worse – a possible liquidation event. One in which owners of risky assets like equities and credit are forced into a sudden rush for the exit.
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
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La la land?
June 2022: Who’d be a central banker today? Once, they were the masters of the universe, bravely slaying the dragon of inflation and slashing interest rates to save the economy in times of peril. Today, they seem powerless to control inflation. Fearful of raising interest rates too far, they issue hollow calls for wage restraint. No wonder Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, admitted to MPs recently that “It’s a very, very difficult place for us to be in.”
Steve Russell
6 mins | Green Line
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Out of the frying pan into the fire?
February 2022: A bubble in profitless tech and so called ‘meme’ stocks may be bursting in front of our eyes. But so far investors still think there is safety to be found in the last decade’s big winners, whatever their valuation. This risks confusing size and past success with safety.
Steve Russell
7 mins | Green Line
A Ruffer Christmas Scrooge?
December 2021: At Ruffer we’re used to being accused of seeing the glass ‘half empty’ rather than ‘half full’. It’s not that we’re inherently pessimistic, but our job is to protect our investors’ capital against whatever might go wrong in markets. So naturally we tend to focus more on the risks than the opportunities. Or as Jonathan Ruffer might put it – to see the mousetrap clearer than the cheese.
Steve Russell
7 mins | Green Line
Going, going, gone!
September 2021: What can they see that we can’t? Private equity bids for UK companies are soaring, while at the same time the UK stock market languishes at valuations well below US peers.
Steve Russell
8 mins | Green Line
Inflation protection – what’s the right recipe?
April 2021: As we emerge from lockdowns and pent-up demand meets ongoing supply constraints, we consider how different asset classes might fare if inflation does return.
Steve Russell
8 mins | Green Line
What could possibly go wrong?
January 2021: We all know that 2020 was an incredible, and terrible, year. The pandemic caused the worst recession for centuries, along with an appalling death toll and suffering. Meanwhile financial assets pushed ever upwards, surfing a wave of liquidity meant to counteract the impact of the pandemic.
Steve Russell
8 mins | Green Line
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contact

ruffer@ruffer.co.uk

Ruffer LinkedIn
London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Directions | Map +44 (0)20 7963 8100
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Directions | Map +44 (0)131 202 1602
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
Directions | Map +33 (0)1 88 45 02 54