What really drives the economic cycle? It’s not the total amount of debt – it’s the rate of change of new borrowing. Investment Specialist Gemma Cairns-Smith sits down with Ruffer’s Head of Macro Strategy Michael Biggs to explore his research into the credit impulse — the change in new borrowing that drives economic activity.
Mike explains why this signal is widely misunderstood, what it reveals about the UK’s shifting interest‑rate backdrop, and where the biggest opportunities and risks lie as credit conditions turn.
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