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Ruffer provides investment management services for institutions, pension funds, charities, financial planners and individual investors.
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Ruffer Radio: Led by the Fed

Episode 16

Ruffer Radio
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Fiona Ker
Fund Manager
Rory McIvor
Investment Communications Specialist

Of the many storylines to unfold in 2022, only one really mattered to investors – rising interest rates and falling asset prices. The chief protagonist in this tale – the Federal Reserve - conducted one of the fastest and steepest rate hiking cycles in financial history. But how much further do they need to go?

Fiona Ker discusses the unenviable choices facing central bankers and explains why monetary policy will continue to dominate the narrative in the next chapter in markets.

 

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The bull market in belief
December 2022: With equity valuations having fallen from their highs, investors are eyeing up stocks once again. Here, Duncan MacInnes discusses why another market rally will rely more on fantasy and belief than on healthy corporate earnings.
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2022 Q3 Investment Review
October 2022: In his latest quarterly review, Jonathan Ruffer reflects on the possibility of an imminent liquidity crisis in markets and looks at why even the safest assets might not prove very safe at all.
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Ruffer round up – Q3 2022
October 2022: Investment Manager Jasmine Yeo joins Rory McIvor to review a quarter of dizzying market activity. They discuss the volatility of UK gilts over recent weeks, consider the potential for a liquidation event in asset markets and provide an update on how the portfolio is positioned.
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Ruffer performance to 31 Dec %
2018 -5.8 | 2019 7.0 | 2020 16.7 | 2021 8.2 | 2022 5.7

Sources: Factset, Bloomberg

All mentions of Ruffer performance refer to Ruffer’s representative portfolio, which shows the performance of an unconstrained, segregated portfolio of £1 million set up in 1995, and follows Ruffer’s investment approach.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income derived therefrom can decrease as well as increase and you may not get back the full amount originally invested. Ruffer performance is shown after deduction of all fees and management charges, and on the basis of income being reinvested. The value of overseas investments will be influenced by the rate of exchange.

The views expressed in this podcast are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment or financial instrument, including interests in any of Ruffer’s funds. The information contained in the podcast is fact based and does not constitute investment research, investment advice or a personal recommendation, and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. This podcast does not take account of any potential investor’s investment objectives, particular needs or financial situation. This podcast reflects Ruffer’s opinions at the date of publication only, the opinions are subject to change without notice and Ruffer shall bear no responsibility for the opinions offered. Read the full disclaimer.

our thinking
So you want stock TIPS?
November 2023: After a bond market rout commensurate with the steepest and fastest rate hiking cycle in a generation, is there now a case for adding fixed income into portfolios? Perhaps - there might even be two. In this month’s green line, Fund Manager Duncan MacInnes looks at the cyclical and structural cases for inflation-linked bonds.
It's a very, very mad world
October 2023: Some extraordinary dynamics have emerged in markets in 2023. None more startling than the breakdown of the typical relationship between bond yields and equity valuations – especially mega-cap tech stocks. So far, it’s been bond investors who have endured the pain of rising real yields. But is an equity market repricing – reflective of stickier inflation and ‘higher for longer’ rates – the shoe that’s yet to drop?
Responsible Investment Report
We outline some of the difficulties of engaging when it comes to commodity investments and explain our efforts to find ways around them. This quarter's engagements in focus are with BAT, ArcelorMittal and Perseus Mining.
Ruffer Radio: From the Chairman
July 2023: In this quarter’s episode of Ruffer Radio, Chairman Jonathan Ruffer shares his perspectives on the evolution of Ruffer’s all-weather investment approach since founding the firm in 1994. Jonathan reflects on the genesis of the firm, making mistakes, the character traits that shape his investment style, and the challenges and opportunities facing investors today. And crucially, how these are reflected in the Ruffer portfolio.
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OUR THINKING
London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France