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Short dreams, long reality

Bracing for the return of inflation risk
25 mins | Webinars
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Jamie_Dannhauser
Articles by Jamie
Jamie Dannhauser
Economist
7 June 2022

Economic conditions of the last few decades have supported a long ascent in the majority of asset prices.

Investors must now confront conditions alien to most, potentially leading to a more painful descent.

In this webinar, Ruffer’s economist, Jamie Dannhauser will explore the key dynamics of this changed economic landscape.

We’ll discuss the apparent ‘Sophie’s choice’ facing central banks – recession or stagflation – and how the economy is evolving in the midst of renewed geopolitical crises.

As we pass the peak in asset prices, we’ll consider how investors can prepare portfolios for the descent.

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#inflation
Crossing the Rubicon
Investors face one of the most complex market environments in history. Simultaneous shifts in the global energy system, geopolitics, demography, technology and much else besides promise a more inflation-prone and volatile world ahead. This brings with it elevated risks, but also potential rewards. Amidst all the uncertainty, this presentation will examine what investors can have conviction about.
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Taking back control
In the late 1970s, the world was on the cusp of radical change. The ‘Deflation Machine’ was being born. Deng Xiaoping began reforming China’s moribund economy. In the West, liberal, free-market ideals were gaining traction, ideals that underpinned the subsequent regime of rapid, disinflationary global growth.
Read
This video is issued by Ruffer LLP (Ruffer) and is intended for circulation in the UK or EEA, residents of the United States, Hong Kong, Singapore, Israel, UAE and Kuwait, Wholesale Clients in Australia and their UK based advisers and should not be shared with any other person. The views expressed in this webinar do not constitute an offer or invitation to provide separate account, discretionary management or other fund management services and Ruffer is not licensed to provide such services in the United States, Hong Kong, Singapore or Kuwait and relies on an exemption from the licensing requirement in Australia. Neither are the views expressed intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment or financial instrument, and no such offer or solicitation will be made until the time a qualified offeree receives a prospectus containing important information, and only in those states or jurisdictions where permitted by law. The information contained in this webinar does not constitute investment advice and should not be used as the basis of any investment decision. References to specific securities are included for the purposes of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities. 
our thinking
16 November 2023
So you want stock TIPS?
November 2023: After a bond market rout commensurate with the steepest and fastest rate hiking cycle in a generation, is there now a case for adding fixed income into portfolios? Perhaps - there might even be two. In this month’s green line, Fund Manager Duncan MacInnes looks at the cyclical and structural cases for inflation-linked bonds.
Duncan MacInnes
3 mins | Green Line
18 October 2023
It's a very, very mad world
October 2023: Some extraordinary dynamics have emerged in markets in 2023. None more startling than the breakdown of the typical relationship between bond yields and equity valuations – especially mega-cap tech stocks. So far, it’s been bond investors who have endured the pain of rising real yields. But is an equity market repricing – reflective of stickier inflation and ‘higher for longer’ rates – the shoe that’s yet to drop?
Steve Russell
3 mins | Green Line
11 October 2023
Responsible Investment Report
We outline some of the difficulties of engaging when it comes to commodity investments and explain our efforts to find ways around them. This quarter's engagements in focus are with BAT, ArcelorMittal and Perseus Mining.
28 mins | Responsible investment
9 October 2023
Ruffer Radio: From the Chairman
July 2023: In this quarter’s episode of Ruffer Radio, Chairman Jonathan Ruffer shares his perspectives on the evolution of Ruffer’s all-weather investment approach since founding the firm in 1994. Jonathan reflects on the genesis of the firm, making mistakes, the character traits that shape his investment style, and the challenges and opportunities facing investors today. And crucially, how these are reflected in the Ruffer portfolio.
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Jonathan Ruffer, Rory McIvor
30mins | Ruffer Radio
OUR THINKING
contact

ruffer@ruffer.co.uk

Ruffer LinkedIn
London
80 Victoria Street
London SW1E 5JL
Directions | Map +44 (0)20 7963 8100
Edinburgh
31 Charlotte Square
Edinburgh EH2 4ET
Directions | Map +44 (0)131 202 1602
Paris
103 boulevard Haussmann
75008 Paris, France
Directions | Map +33 (0)1 88 45 02 54