Just bluster?

Ideas, thoughts and comments
Ruffer
our thinking
Investment Review
July 2021: We have been talking of inflation for well over a decade – which is not the same thing as calling its timing. An impasse was created by the failure of the economy to grow after the 2008 crisis – all the risks (as we patiently explained) were deflationary, and in vain did the central banks and governments try to force an inflationary impulse into a sluggish world.
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Bitcoin – the future arrived early
July 2021: The best investments are often the least comfortable ones. This is certainly the case with our decision to add bitcoin exposure to our portfolios in November last year.
Responsible Investment Report
In our latest quarterly report, Investment Manager Rory Goodman examines the global significance of US President Joe Biden's new emission reduction targets announced at the Earth Day summit, and we share our stewardship and engagement activities during the second quarter of 2021.
Navigating information
It’s easy to be overwhelmed by the volume of information aimed at us. Inundated by a daily torrent of headlines, images, messages and data, we can be left feeling unable to process it to a satisfying degree. For investors, navigating information is central to being effective. Insights from information theory and gauge theory can help.
OUR THINKING – ALL ARTICLES
EDITOR'S CHOICE
The Cazique. The conman
General Sir Gregor MacGregor orchestrated one of the most audacious scams in history – marvellous in its ambition and catastrophic in its consequences.
The 60/40 portfolio
This has been the allocation of choice for traditional balanced portfolios and has served investors well for the past 50 years. Is this all about to change and should investors be looking for something different?
Book review – The Forger’s Spell
A talent for deception.
The Barber Boom
The story of an economic gear shift which sent post-war Britain careering around country lanes, before skidding on an oil slick and being sent ditchward. There it was left, engine smoking, entangled in the brambles of inflation. It wasn’t until 1980 that road-side recovery eventually arrived in the shape of Paul Volcker and his inflation curbing toolkit.
MMT on the march?
The response to this economic crisis has moved away from the old monetary regime to one where fiscal policy has become more important.
Would a stock, by any other name, rise just as high?
Traditional finance theory tells us that markets are rational. Investors incorporate all public and private information when making their investment decisions. This school of thought is grappling with the field of behavioural finance, which asserts that human psychology and biases also act in an irrational way to influence these same investment decisions.
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