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Schrodinger’s bonds
March 2021: Corporate bonds had a near death experience in 2020. After a decade where credit markets grew to $10 trillion, borrowing costs spiked as we stared into the abyss of a global economic shutdown. We had been warning of this for several years and were positioned accordingly. But since the US Federal Reserve drenched the market with its money hosepipe, credit is alive again.
Jurassic risk
The death of inflation has been greatly exaggerated. Its return will ruin the traditional balanced 60/40 portfolios. Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility and with it the possibility that bonds and equities fall in tandem.
Ruffer Review 2021
Download our 2021 edition of the Ruffer Review. In it we explore the fate of traditional balanced portfolios, our latest big picture thinking – on regime change and inflation – as well as fresh perspectives on trust, belief and behavioural bias.
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Ruffer Radio: A bias to belief
February 2021: Bethany McLean joins us to discuss the tension between rational markets and emotional investors, what separates the visionary leader from the fraudster and how a bias to belief affects our decision-making.
Inflation gets real – time to adjust
February 2021: Our view is that rising prices in some traditional industries are signalling that the recovery, when it comes, will look very different and be much more inflationary than anything we have seen for 30 years.
What could possibly go wrong?
January 2021: We all know that 2020 was an incredible, and terrible, year. The pandemic caused the worst recession for centuries, along with an appalling death toll and suffering. Meanwhile financial assets pushed ever upwards, surfing a wave of liquidity meant to counteract the impact of the pandemic.
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Investment Review
January 2021: A changing of the guard is also the way of the world – and on its way. We are preparing for a time when high taxes – on capital gains, wealth, and income – effectively constrain capital accumulation.
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Ruffer Radio: A view from the bridge
January 2021: 2020 will loom large on financial markets for many years to come. As we cautiously make our way out of the crisis, Duncan MacInnes and Fiona Ker review the more startling developments of the last year, share their insights into the ongoing recovery and look ahead to some of key challenges facing investors in 2021.
The race to net-zero
The UK made headlines in the summer of 2019 when it became the first major economy to pass a law requiring greenhouse gas emissions to be reduced to net-zero by 2050.
Responsible Investment Report
In our latest quarterly report, Alexia Palacios reviews global efforts in the race to net-zero by 2050, and we share our stewardship and engagement activities during the fourth quarter of 2020.
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